The Weldon Cooper Center for Public Service at the University of Virginia last week released population projections for Virginia and the state’s counties and cities, with steady growth expected for Virginia, Richmond, and the surrounding counties.
The report says that Virginia’s continued growth is should make the state’s population larger than that of both New Jersey and Michigan by 2040, making it the 10th largest state. The report projects that 90% of the growth in the state will come in Northern Virginia, Richmond and Hampton Roads, and that by 2040, less than half of Virginians may identify as being “non-Hispanic white.”
Richmond is projected to grow to over 230,000 residents in 2020, over 240,000 in 2030, and over 250,000 in 2040. The city’s racial make-up is projected to change as well, with Hispanic becoming the largest identity group sometime in the 2030s.
Henrico County is projected to grow to over 351,000, 348,000, and 415,000 in 2020/2030/2040. Chesterfield is slated to see 349,000, 395,000, and 435,000.
New data from the U.S. Census Bureau recently put the city of Richmond population at 223,170 people as of July 2016. This is an increase of over 1% the previous years’ estimate, and up almost 19,000 from the 2010 count of 204,214.
Richmond’s population peaked at just over 249,000 in 1970, fell to a low under 190,000 sometime in the mid-1990s, and began to gain traction again in the mid-2000s. It was only in 2014 that the population of the East End began to rise again after falling since at least 1990.
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