With this being such a close contest, I thought it might be interesting to compare local election numbers from this year’s election and last year’s election. Both years offered a competitive state-wide contest with the same somewhat viable 3rd party candidate.
I’ve also included the 2012 presidential election numbers as a further comparison.
- In the 2014 election for U.S. Senator, there were 942 fewer votes cast in Richmond precincts 701-708 than in the 2013 gubernatorial election (4,691 vs 5,633). In the 2012 presidential election there were 9,909 votes cast.
- The only Democrat in the South to win a statewide contest this past Tuesday, Warner bested Gillespie by about only 17,000 votes out of more than 2,000,000 cast.
- In this year’s closer race, statewide Warner garnered more votes than McAuliffe did in 2013 in his 2.5% victory over Ken Cuccinelli: McAuliffe received 1,069,789 votes, with Warner at 1,071,049.
- Locally, McAuliffe (4,731 83.9%) pulled both higher vote totals and percentages than Warner (4,105 87.5%).
- Turnout was lower in every precinct in the East End.
- Warner picked up 626 fewer votes here than McAuliffe in 2013; Gillespie ran 78 behind Cuccinelli; Sarvis ’14 lost 238 votes from Sarvis ’13.
- Gillespie received 78 less votes than Cuccinelli, but due to the locally lower turnout this translates into a .1 % gain from 2013.
- Last year’s Sarvis totally stomped this year’s Sarvis: he picked up only 177 votes in the area in 2014, down from 415 in 2013. His percentage of the total vote dropped from 7.3% to 3.7%.
- Warner picked up 143 fewer votes than McAuliffe in precinct 701 (Fairfield/Creighton), almost a quarter of his “lost” votes. He ran almost 1,000 votes behind Obama’s 2012 count in that precinct.
- Gillespie did worse (by %) than Cuccinelli in precincts 703 (Oakwood) and 706 (Fulton).
- Y’all see all them Republicans over there in 708 (Shockoe/Tobacco Row)?
Election results 2014
Election results 2013
Election results 2012