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Government

Local voting (2014 vs 2013 vs 2012)

With this being such a close contest, I thought it might be interesting to compare local election numbers from this year’s election and last year’s election. Both years offered a competitive state-wide contest with the same somewhat viable 3rd party candidate.

I’ve also included the 2012 presidential election numbers as a further comparison.

  • In the 2014 election for U.S. Senator, there were 942 fewer votes cast in Richmond precincts 701-708 than in the 2013 gubernatorial election (4,691 vs 5,633). In the 2012 presidential election there were 9,909 votes cast.
  • The only Democrat in the South to win a statewide contest this past Tuesday, Warner bested Gillespie by about only 17,000 votes out of more than 2,000,000 cast.
  • In this year’s closer race, statewide Warner garnered more votes than McAuliffe did in 2013 in his 2.5% victory over Ken Cuccinelli: McAuliffe received 1,069,789 votes, with Warner at 1,071,049.
  • Locally, McAuliffe (4,731 83.9%) pulled both higher vote totals and percentages than Warner (4,105 87.5%).
  • Turnout was lower in every precinct in the East End.
  • Warner picked up 626 fewer votes here than McAuliffe in 2013; Gillespie ran 78 behind Cuccinelli; Sarvis ’14 lost 238 votes from Sarvis ’13.
  • Gillespie received 78 less votes than Cuccinelli, but due to the locally lower turnout this translates into a .1 % gain from 2013.
  • Last year’s Sarvis totally stomped this year’s Sarvis: he picked up only 177 votes in the area in 2014, down from 415 in 2013. His percentage of the total vote dropped from 7.3% to 3.7%.
  • Warner picked up 143 fewer votes than McAuliffe in precinct 701 (Fairfield/Creighton), almost a quarter of his “lost” votes. He ran almost 1,000 votes behind Obama’s 2012 count in that precinct.
  • Gillespie did worse (by %) than Cuccinelli in precincts 703 (Oakwood) and 706 (Fulton).
  • Y’all see all them Republicans over there in 708 (Shockoe/Tobacco Row)?

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Election results 2014

Screen Shot 2014-11-10 at 8.09.54 AM

Data from Virginia SBE

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Election results 2013

Screen Shot 2014-11-10 at 8.07.53 AM

Data from CHPN

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Election results 2012

Screen Shot 2014-11-11 at 7.47.49 AM

Data from Richmond Registrar

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precicnts richmond election

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Laura Dickinson
Laura Dickinson
5 years ago

Laura Dickinson liked this on Facebook.

Emily Klinedinst
Emily Klinedinst
5 years ago

Emily Klinedinst liked this on Facebook.

Kristen
Kristen
5 years ago

This is really interesting. Thanks for doing this John. Any idea what percentage of registered voters and eligible voters are voting? And how that compares to the last Presidential elections? It seems like the turnout these past two years was much, much lower than in 2012.

ann
ann
5 years ago

You put a lot of work into this. Thanks.

Quentin Cannatella
Quentin Cannatella
5 years ago

Quentin Cannatella liked this on Facebook.

Bill conkle
Bill conkle
5 years ago

I would have predicted a stronger shift to the right. Great information for the neighborhood. Thanks.

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