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Shoplifting up 1,800% in Sector 113

Lt.Blackwell’s Sector 113 report for May (PDF) is now available for all points north of Carrington and Nine Mile.

We are still experiencing an increase in property crime. […] The driving factor in our property crime numbers are Shoplifting incidents. For the year we have experienced an increase of 1,800% in shopliftings. We are currently working with the businesses in the sector in an attempt to create an environment in which the opportunity for offenders is not as frequent.

Below are the crime stats for the First Quarter / Year 2014:

MAJOR CRIMES January 1, 2014 – April 1, 2014

Violent Crime (2014 compared to 2013)
2013: 60
2014: 30
Result: 50% Decrease

Property Crime: (2014 compared to 2013)
2013: 129 (Shoplifting: 2)
2014: 157 (Shoplifting: 38)
Result: 22% Increase

MAJOR CRIME (2013 compared to 2012)

2013: 189
2014: 187
Result: 1% Decrease

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katzenjaammer 05/06/2014 at 9:26 PM

Can someone clarify if this is the 1Q14 vs the entire year of 13? Or 1Q14 vs 1Q13? Because if it’s the former, not the latter, that math doesn’t work.

chpn 05/06/2014 at 9:50 PM

It’s this year compared to the same time period last year.

Neil 05/07/2014 at 10:16 AM

I agree kat, 38/2=19 which would be 1,900% not 1,800%. Close enough for goverment work

Alex 05/07/2014 at 12:15 PM

@3 – 1900% is often referred to as a 1800% increase (since the first 100% would be no change).

On a related note, I find the use of percentages for really small incidence rate stuff kind of misleading. There’s always going to be some natural level of “noise” in the data when you look at small sample sizes.

Neil 05/07/2014 at 3:38 PM


Now you can see why I struggled in math and accounting. Maybe you can be my tutor… lol

Alex 05/07/2014 at 6:52 PM

@5 – hopefully you work for the government also?

Pear Street, Build a Better Block, crime report, and more at 7th District Meeting ‹ CHPN 05/20/2014 at 11:41 AM

[…] Park. Whitcomb Court Community Walk on Wednesday at 5:30 PM. Violent crime is down in Sector 113, shoplifting at the Family Dollar is up (Cynthia Newbille: “The store is pretty filthy”). There is a push to clean up the area […]

No one has been shot to death in the East End this year ‹ CHPN 06/02/2014 at 5:41 PM

[…] Lt.Blackwell’s most recent Sector 113 report says that violent crime in that sector is down 50% from last year, listing 30 incidents through the end of April (compared to 60 through April in 2013). […]


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